Election 2012: Morning After Thoughts on the National Election

Has the Republican Party lost its way?  Did it get beaten so badly because of Tea Party craziness?  Or was it, yet again, too moderate?  Did it get beat because it’s party of angry old white men?  What lessons should the GOP take away from this drubbing?

Here are some of my brief thoughts.

(1) This was not that much of a drubbing.  It was predicted to be a close election.  It was a close election.  The country remains evenly split.  Republicans and Democrats should both keep that in mind.  Enough of the American electorate responded to President Obama’s primary message, which was, “better me than him,” for him to win.  Certainly not a mandate for four more years of the same.

(2) Candidates, candidates, candidates!  Right now, the GOP has a problem with its candidates, and I’m not talking Mitt Romney.  Democrats picked up seats in the Senate due to some incredibly inept Republican candidates, not a Democratic groundswell.  Whatever the reasons — whether it’s Tea Party extremism or the party getting too comfortable with certain seats, I’m not sure.  But the GOP has lost too many races that it should have won over the last 4 years.

(3) Despite the close election, Republicans do have a serious issue with minority appeal and demographic realities.  As a result, I suspect we’ll finally see bipartisan immigration reform before 2014.  However, Republicans have lost ground on the issue that’s going to be hard to make up.  They really need to do some serious outreach.  There are Hispanic voters that would fit well in the GOP, but it’s going to take time, words, and action to make them feel comfortable enough to join up or come back.

(4) Republicans need to make peace with the idea of serious healthcare reform.  Obamacare isn’t going away; there will be no repeal.  It was ultimately a losing wedge issue this time round, it will be more so in future years.  The other thing about the Republican stand on healthcare is that it hurts the party’s minority appeal.  The issue going forward becomes how to mitigate the negative impacts, of which there will be many. The GOP needs a serious alternative healthcare approach.  Now!

(5) The GOP foreign policy does sound like the 1980s part II.  Although I don’t believe for a second that Mitt Romney really conceived of Russia as the United States’ primary foreign policy threat, the GOP needs a foreign policy that is more than Israel, Iraq, + military spending.

Before my fellow Republicans despair that we’re entering a new era of Democratic dominance and all is lost, let’s keep in mind one thing: The Democrats have their own problems.  Pretty big problems.  In his effort to win this election, President Obama repeatedly villainized wealth and openly engaged in the type of class warfare we haven’t seen since before Reagan.  I think some damage was done to the Democratic Party as a result.  President Obama and Congressional Democrats have some time to try and rehabilitate their image.  An improving economy will help.  The significance of the Democratic “firewall” of rust belt swing states is also subject to coming demographic realities.  Continued unconditional support for unions is going to hurt elsewhere and the political benefits will be reduced as the rust belt becomes less electorally significant.  Democrats cannot continue to offer, as their only solutions for an obvious entitlement crisis (1) reduced military spending, and (2) more entitlement programs.  Both parties need course corrections.

Finally, let me wax philosophical on a couple things.  First, the Tea Party.  My few regular readers will know that I’m no great fan of the Tea Party.  But for me, the problem with the Tea Party has always been about the penchant for constitutional politics, not the stances on the major issues of our time, which are debt and entitlement reform.  The Tea Party energy is a positive thing for the Republican Party; it just needs to be re-directed to where it counts.

Second, Mitt Romney.  I was a Jon Huntsman supporter during the primary.  I still like Huntsman.  But I like Romney as well, and I’ve always thought he would be a tremendous President.  I think that Romney represented Republicans well.  I think he represented the Mormon Church well.  I think the door is now wide open for a Mormon President — of any political persuasion.  Mitt ran for office with a deck stacked against him in many ways.  Evangelicals were suspicious of his religion.  Republicans were suspicious of his record.  Democrats attacked his wealth.  If he flip-flopped to navigate the minefield, I forgive him.  He did a good job.

Anyway, my random morning after thoughts on the national election.  Utah thoughts coming soon . . . .

Book Review: The Paranoid Style in American Politics and Other Essays

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A couple weeks ago I finished reading Richard Hofstadter’s The Paranoid Style in American Politics and Other Essays.  Upon reading it, I logged on to Twitter and posted this:

I’d heard about The Paranoid Style before, and the title has always intrigued me.  But it was the Tea Party movement and Paul Mero’s (of the Sutherland Institute) post about political extremism (which quotes from The Paranoid Style) that finally pushed me to actually begin working my way through it.  I’m glad I did.

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While the impetus for the essay was McCarthyism and the rise of the American far right during the mid-1950s, The Paranoid Style ranges farther than that and purports to identify a tendency in American political discourse that is not tied to any particular time, issue, or party — the tendency toward “heated exaggeration, suspiciousness, and conspiratorial fantasy.” Hofstadter clarifies up front that his use of the term paranoid shouldn’t be construed as his attempt to provide an official pyschological diagnosis of individuals or movements; instead, it’s simply his own attempt to convey the attitude he’s observed.  He also is very transparent in his personal opinion about what he refers to as paranoid movements: “Of course this term is pejorative, and it is meant to be; the paranoid style has a greater affinity for bad causes than good.”  But he also acknowledges that he is ultimately commenting on style, rather than substance, and that nothing prevents a profitable cause or program from being advocated in the paranoid style.

After going through a number of historical examples designed to show the persistent nature of the paranoid style in American political discourse, Hofstadter focuses in on his primary target:  The then-rising post-WWII American far right-wing movement, a movement that whispered (and shouted) references about Dwight D. Eisenhower’s complicity in a Communist conspiracy.  According to Hofstadter, this iteration of paranoia in American politics was particularly interesting because it contained something unique from other previous iterations — a feeling of dispossession:

If, after our historically discontinuous examples of the paranoid style, we now take the long jump to the contemporary right wing, we find some rather important differences from the nineteenth-century movements. The spokesmen of those earlier movements felt that they stood for causes and personal types that were still in possession of their country—that they were fending off threats to a still established way of life. But the modern right wing, as Daniel Bell has put it, feels dispossessed: America has been largely taken away from them and their kind, though they are determined to try to repossess it and to prevent the final destructive act of subversion. The old American virtues have already been eaten away by cosmopolitans and intellectuals; the old competitive capitalism has been gradually undermined by socialistic and communistic schemers; the old national security and independence have been destroyed by treasonous plots, having as their most powerful agents not merely outsiders and foreigners as of old but major statesmen who are at the very centers of American power. Their predecessors had discovered conspiracies; the modern radical right finds conspiracy to be betrayal from on high.

Hofstadter then goes on to describe the symptoms of the paranoid style that he thought he observed in the 1950s right wing.  I’ve selected some quotations:

The paranoid spokesman sees the fate of conspiracy in apocalyptic terms—he traffics in the birth and death of whole worlds, whole political orders, whole systems of human values. He is always manning the barricades of civilization.

As a member of the avant-garde who is capable of perceiving the conspiracy before it is fully obvious to an as yet unaroused public, the paranoid is a militant leader. He does not see social conflict as something to be mediated and compromised, in the manner of the working politician. Since what is at stake is always a conflict between absolute good and absolute evil, what is necessary is not compromise but the will to fight things out to a finish.

The paranoid’s interpretation of history is distinctly personal: decisive events are not taken as part of the stream of history, but as the consequences of someone’s will. Very often the enemy is held to possess some especially effective source of power: he controls the press; he has unlimited funds; he has a new secret for influencing the mind (brainwashing); he has a special technique for seduction (the Catholic confessional).

It’s quite interesting to me that Hofstadter would also take some time to comment on the nature of the scholarship produced in by what he classifies as paranoid movements.  According to Hofstadter, scholars in paranoid movements meticulously and exhaustively document uncontestable facts, often much more meticulously and exhaustively than members of their opposition.  They spend a great deal of time reading and researching and building comprehensive historical timelines, and mostof their thinking is careful, precise, and logical — at least right up to the final conclusion.  While ultimately rooted in uncontestable facts and much persuasive logic, Hofstadter argues that the final conclusions drawn by the scholars of the paranoid movements are unwarranted leaps from the facts and logic that underly them.

The Paranoid Style in American Politics and Other Essays is an interesting read, and, like most books, is probably just as much a comment on its author — who was, after all, devotedly anti-capitalist, a member of the Communist Party early in his career, and who George Will refers to as “the iconic public intellectual of liberal condescension” — as on its subject.  I think it’s worth taking some time to work through.  Although I’ve focused exclusively on The Paranoid Style in American Politics, it’s only one essay in the book — the most interesting one, in my opinion — so, there’s a lot to digest.  If any of you have read it, I’d love to get your thoughts, especially in light of current political developments.

 

 

Respecting the Constitution

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In Utah, perhaps more so than in other places in America, electoral politics often seems to degenerate into a contest over who loves the Constitution most. But aside from oral professions of admiration, and, perhaps, carrying a pocket Constitution (will it become the new American flag lapel pin?), just how does one show respect for the Constitution?

I want to take a step beyond the obvious, “you follow it,” and suggest to you that, often times, and especially in politics, truly respecting the Constitution requires you to set it aside and let the frustrating, ineffective political process take its course.

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Please give me the opportunity to very carefully explain what I do and do not mean.

I am not suggesting that the Constitution is outdated or irrelevant.

I am not suggesting that we should just ignore the Constitution when it gets in the way of our preferred political solution.

I am not suggesting that all elected officials leave enforcement of the Constitution solely to the United States Supreme Court.

I am not suggesting that I don’t love or respect the Constitution.

But I am suggesting that the Constitution purposefully creates a wide sphere for political action and that truly respecting the Constitution requires that we set aside any belief that the Constitution itself ordains one true political philosophy over any other (except, perhaps, democracy — broadly defined, my Utah legislative friends — over authoritarianism).  It requires that Republicans stop pretending that every disagreeable (to them) Democratic political action is an unconstitutional deprivation of economic liberty and that Democrats stop pretending that every disagreeable (to them) Republican political action is an unconstitutional assault on our civil rights.

In short, respect for the Constitution requires that we show respect for the vast majority of political outcomes, even (especially) those we disagree with, and that we stop using the Constitution as a political tool of first resort.  Rather than requiring us to roll over and fatalistically accept every law we disagree with, true respect for the Constitution serves to orient our responsive efforts away from the courts and toward our own political representatives, in all but a few cases.  And in those few cases (which I am not going to define other than to say that I do not believe Obamacare is one of them), a turn to the courts and a resort to the Constitution is entirely proper and justified.

It is true that the Constitution exists to set limits on what government can do.  These limitations are important and not to be ignored.  But it is also important to remember that these limits are primarily designed to protect minority rights with an eye to ensuring that the political process can function fairly and with the input of all.  The United States Supreme Court recognized this in “Footnote Four” of its otherwise pedestrian opinion in United States v. Carolene Products Co., 304 U.S. 144 (1938).  In its opinion, the Court emphasized the “presumption of constitutionality” of ordinary congressional legislation:

There is no need to consider it here as more than a declaration of the legislative findings deemed to support and justify the action taken as a constitutional exertion of the legislative power, aiding informed judicial review, as do the reports of legislative committees, by revealing the rationale of the legislation. Even in the absence of such aids, the existence of facts supporting the legislative judgment is to be presumed, for regulatory legislation affecting ordinary commercial transactions is not to be pronounced unconstitutional unless, in the light of the facts made known or generally assumed, it is of such a character as to preclude the assumption that it rests upon some rational basis within the knowledge and experience of the legislators.

In the much more famous footnote to its opinion, the Court acknowledged that there were certain situations in which the presumption of constitutionality may not apply and where more searching judicial inquiry into motives and justification was warranted.  In particular, the Court singled out cases where the legislation itself negatively impacted the abilities of minorities to defend themselves through the political process:

There may be narrower scope for operation of the presumption of constitutionality when legislation appears on its face to be within a specific prohibition of the Constitution, such as those of the first ten amendments, which are deemed equally specific when held to be embraced within the Fourteenth. See Stromberg v. California, 283 U. S. 359,283 U. S. 369-370; Lovell v. Griffin, 303 U. S. 444303 U. S. 452.

It is unnecessary to consider now whether legislation which restricts those political processes which can ordinarily be expected to bring about repeal of undesirable legislation is to be subjected to more exacting judicial scrutiny under the general prohibitions of the Fourteenth Amendment than are most other types of legislation. On restrictions upon the right to vote, see Nixon v. Herndon, 273 U. S. 536Nixon v. Condon, 286 U. S. 73; on restraints upon the dissemination of information, see Near v. Minnesota ex rel. Olson, 283 U. S. 697283 U. S. 713-714, 283 U. S. 718-720, 283 U. S. 722Grosjean v. American Press Co., 297 U. S. 233Lovell v. Griffin, supra; on interferences with political organizations, see Stromberg v. California, supra, 283 U. S. 369Fiske v. Kansas, 274 U. S. 380Whitney v. California, 274 U. S. 357274 U. S. 373-378; Herndon v. Lowry, 301 U. S. 242and see Holmes, J., in Gitlow v. New York,268 U. S. 652268 U. S. 673; as to prohibition of peaceable assembly, see De Jonge v. Oregon, 299 U. S. 353299 U. S. 365.

Nor need we enquire whether similar considerations enter into the review of statutes directed at particular religious, Pierce v. Society of Sisters, 268 U. S. 510, or national,Meyer v. Nebraska, 262 U. S. 390Bartels v. Iowa, 262 U. S. 404Farrington v. Tokushige, 273 U. S. 284, or racial minorities, Nixon v. Herndon, supra; Nixon v. Condon, supra: whether prejudice against discrete and insular minorities may be a special condition, which tends seriously to curtail the operation of those political processes ordinarily to be relied upon to protect minorities, and which may call for a correspondingly more searching judicial inquiry. Compare 17 U. S. Maryland, 4 Wheat. 316, 17 U. S. 428South Carolina v. Barnwell Bros., 303 U. S. 177303 U. S. 184, n 2, and cases cited.

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I certainly realize that Carolene Products is an rational basis/due process, rather than a federalism, case (which are more in vogue these days).  But I still think the principle coming out of the case is valuable and applicable no matter the nature of the objection to congressional action.  The principle is that the Constitution creates a wide channel in which government — even our national government — is able to act (and this itself is controversial for some) and that grievances are supposed to be addressed first through the political process.  It is only when that process has failed us (and a “failure” is different from a “loss”) where the Constitution is to be invoked in a turn to the courts.

I believe that understanding this principle is the beginning of true, thoughtful, respect for the Constitution.  It’s something both parties and nearly all of our representatives need to take into account.

Zeal for Liberty More Ardent Than Enlightened

Taking a much needed break from H.B. 477.  [sighs as weight magically vanishes from shoulders]  I’m going to keep it short and simple.

Consider the following, from Federalist 26 (Alexander Hamilton):

IT WAS a thing hardly to be expected that in a popular revolution the minds of men should stop at that happy mean which marks the salutary boundary between POWER and PRIVILEGE, and combines the energy of government with the security of private rights. . . . The idea of restraining the legislative authority, in the means of providing for the national defense, is one of those refinements which owe their origin to a zeal for liberty more ardent than enlightened. . . . The opponents of the proposed Constitution combat, in this respect, the general decision of America; and instead of being taught by experience the propriety of correcting any extremes into which we may have heretofore run, they appear disposed to conduct us into others still more dangerous, and more extravagant. . . . It may be affirmed without the imputation of invective, that if the principles they inculcate, on various points, could so far obtain as to become the popular creed, they would utterly unfit the people of this country for any species of government whatever. But a danger of this kind is not to be apprehended. The citizens of America have too much discernment to be argued into anarchy. And I am much mistaken, if experience has not wrought a deep and solemn conviction in the public mind, that greater energy of government is essential to the welfare and prosperity of the community.

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H.B. 477: After Rally Thoughts and Rant

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Yes, I attended the H.B. 477 rally last night at the Capitol.  Public protests are usually not my style.  I am, by nature, a pretty even-keeled person who believes in talking things out rather than in yelling, dancing, and waiving signs.  But the more time I have had to think about H.B. 477, the more upset I’ve become with the bill’s substance, (lack of) process, and the legislature’s total (and rather insulting) disregard of the public view on this issue.  We’re not talking about the normal Utah legislature penchant for ignoring the opinions of everyone but the Tea Party wing of the Republican Party, we’re talking about the total disregard of unified public opinion, as I have yet to talk with anyone, of any party or political persuasion, who support this bill–although one (possibly a legislator?) did comment on my prior blog post.  By yesterday afternoon, I had decided that our legislative representatives need to hear from their constituents loudly on this issue, because it had become obvious that the public’s clear opposition certainly wasn’t getting any response.  So, I drove out to the Capitol last night and joined the party.

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Was 2010 the High Water Mark for the States’ Rights Movement in Utah?

There’s a place on the Gettysburg Battlefield,  out in the middle of the field separating Seminary Ridge from Cemetery Ridge, near a broken-down rock wall next to a small group of trees, containing a small monument marking the High Water Mark of the Confederate States of America.  The marker shows the farthest point North that Confederate troops were able to advance during the ill-fated “Pickett’s Charge” ordered by General Robert E. Lee on the battle’s final day.

At this point, you might be asking yourself what all this interesting Civil War history has to do with modern-day federalism in the Republican Party.  Good question.  Perhaps not very much, other than the fact that I suspect that the current states’ rights movement reached in 2010, just as the Confederacy did in July of 1863, its high water mark and will recede in significance going forward.

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The Commerce Clause, Federal Police Power, and Judicially-Enforced Federalism

I’ve been thinking about writing this essay for a long time now. It has its genesis in my growing ambivalence with the continual constitutionalist rhetoric from Tea Party members in response to The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010–more officially known these days as “Obamacare.” I finally wrote it in response to the Utah legislature’s continuing and, unfortunately growing, penchant for angry federalism message bills–designed to provoke federal judicial confrontations over the scope of Congressional legislative authority vis-a-vis the states. But I use Obamacare for my jumping off point.

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